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–A costly decision demanding accountability, public scrutiny, trust, leadership priorities, and responsibility

By Nura Jibo MRICS, MNIQS, PQS, RQS, UN-DCP

If Muhammad Badaru’s eight-year stewardship as Jigawa State’s governor could not provoke his conscience to reflect on the abandonment of the N11.5 billion Dutse International Airport, from which Jigawa State’s public money was taken and used by Governor Sule Lamido, nothing will! 

If Governor Umar Namadi’s one-year display of overt leadership anger, just to play to the gallery while inspecting projects at Dutse General Hospital and Rasheed Shekoni, is any indication of god-fearing, at this point, he should be seeking Allah’s repentance and forgiveness for neglecting the Dutse International Airport that Governor Sule Lamido spent N11.5 billion to construct.

The issue is: It is not just about campaigning and winning public office. It is not about aspiring to be a governor, senator, minister, or president while relegating public responsibility. Indeed, it is about taking a substantial amount of Jigawa State’s money to build an airport that its ordinary citizens (Talakawa) have never benefited from. It is about earning public trust, accountability, responsibility, and excellence by safeguarding public funds and ensuring that the people of Jigawa State receive value for their money.

Anything short of this, one would inevitably appear before Allah SWT and answer for all misdeeds, inactions, and karmic retribution.

It is very painful to witness a project one participated in constructing being abandoned by Governors Badaru and Namadi after an enormous sum of N11.5 billion was spent on it. And the governors who do this are sleeping with both eyes closed! They forget that a day of reckoning is coming when they must appear before their Creator and answer the most difficult questions of their lives. 

The engineers from Jigawa State’s Due Process involved in this airport project are also unhappy with the abandonment of the Dutse International Airport.

The person who hired this writer as a supervising consultant for Dutse International Airport in 2013, Mallam Rabi’u Shuaibu Kazaure, then director of building at Jigawa State’s Due Process and Project Monitoring Bureau, has passed away. He was a man of integrity, sincerity, and honesty who diligently discharged his duties. May Allah bless him with Jannah and continue to reward his efforts in the airport project. 

Therefore, the deliberate killing and systemic lack of foresight and vision by the two governors regarding the Dutse Airport is not only negligent but also significantly affects the weak, crushing the innocent’s opportunity cost and marginal propensity to invest their billions in agribusiness and other Jigawa State science and technology developments.

Indeed, airport construction and management are not for everyone! It is not merely a governor’s affair! It is not a long-standing academic practice in which a governor would recruit or “shop” lecturers from universities and give them “lucrative” positions in Jigawa State, expecting them to perform miracles, while their true expertise lies in marking students’ scripts for years. They know nothing about industry knowledge beyond their rules of engagement as academics and their involvement in academic staff unionism, which they spent decades pursuing with little success! 

Managing Jigawa State’s departments and agencies is certainly beyond a mere academic exercise. It requires industry knowledge, not academic learning. It does not require mastery of the English language, where certain DGs in Governor Namadi’s cabinet, for example, could deceive the governor with all sorts of English grammar or polemics in the name of “fetching” Jigawa State government investors from abroad.

This could be elaborated more succinctly in a subsequent discussion on the mismanagement of Jigawa State’s funds by Governor Namadi and his DGs on foreign trips under the pretext of seeking investors for Jigawa State. If time permits, photos and videos could be released to substantiate this point!

Now back to the wasteful venture of the Dutse International Airport.

Governor Sule Lamido’s efforts must be acknowledged and appreciated for the construction of the Dutse International Airport. He single-handedly started this project in February 2013 and completed it in 18 months! This is certainly commendable for a governor who is primarily an administrator and a lifelong politician rather than a technical expert.

However, even Governor Lamido’s vision and mission for the airport could be faulted for his limited understanding of how airports are managed globally, particularly when the client (owner) lacks the resources to manage it. This writer has repeatedly communicated with Governor Lamido about the importance of handing over the entire airport to a reputable airline to operate it on behalf of the Jigawa State government. This is akin to an agreement reached with Captain Edward Boyo, the CEO of Overland Airways, who scheduled a three-day flight connecting Abuja, Dutse, and Bauchi. Unfortunately, the memorandum of understanding agreed upon with Overland was not honoured by Governor Badaru and his entire cabinet. Neither was it honoured by Governor Namadi, courtesy of political disputes arising from party differences, which ultimately led to the waste of Jigawa State’s people’s money and resources in perpetuity.

Very recently, in a conversation with top political office-holders in the state, they recounted their ordeals over their inability to make the airport functional and useful.

An investigation revealed that a South African company interested in the Dutse International Airport came and went without arriving at a common standpoint. Ethiopian Airlines was also revealed to have an interest in turning it into a cargo airport, but Governor Badaru and Governor Namadi’s lack of interest has hindered this line of business.

It is, therefore, foolhardy to talk about or dream of good governance when these two governors came and found a functional airport and, provocatively, made it dysfunctional for political reasons and personal interests best known to them, which are diametrically opposed to public interests. With this kind of behaviour alone, Allah SWT will, insha’ Allah, never allow them to go scot-free, given their lack of responsibility and public trust in sustaining the airport for well over 10 years now! The airport could have at least covered its full construction cost by now! 

For instance, the Murtala Mohammed International Airport in Ikeja, Lagos, is a federal asset managed by the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) and the Nigerian Customs Service (NCS). Its Customs revenue alone as of 2025 was reported at N202.9 billion! The airport’s FAAN revenue in 2024 was the highest in Nigeria, accounting for an average of 67% of its total revenue of N256 billion.

Malam Aminu Kano International Airport in Kano generated N20.2 billion in revenue, accounting for 5.3% of FAAN’s total revenue in 2024!

Therefore, the Dutse International Airport could have generated at least N50 billion in 10 years (2015-2025) if it had not been left idle or used solely for Hajj ceremonial shuttling by Governor Badaru and Governor Namadi.

Though the revenue from the Ikeja and Kano airports goes to the federal government of Nigeria, by comparison, Lagos State and Kano benefit from increased economic activity due to the presence of NAHCO and SAHCO, as well as from personal income taxes paid by workers and businesses operating in the airports’ vicinity.

This is what the people of Jigawa lost due to Governor Badaru and Namadi’s neglect of the Dutse International Airport for well over 10 years! 

Indeed, on a daily basis, Ikeja airport’s customs could generate an average of N555 million in import/customs duties if its reported 2024/2025 revenue of N256 billion is anything to go by. 

Governors Badaru and Namadi’s avoidance of this airport responsibility since 2015, by portraying it as a ceremonial airport for commuting Hajj pilgrims, is not only detrimental but also exposes the political leaders’ lack of foresight and mismanagement of public funds. 

The indecision regarding the Dutse International Airport by Governor Badaru and Governor Namadi contravenes FAAN’s three measurable KPIs, which include on-time operations, revenue growth, and passenger satisfaction.

Solutions 

Globally, airports are assessed against standards and quality. Dutse International Airport was built to standard. Its runway is 3 kilometres long, and the airport’s width is 60 metres. It is, by all standards, suitable for large aircraft such as the Boeing 747 to land on its runway, with an average concrete and asphalt thickness of seven meters! This does not fall short of the global requirements for the longest runways at the world’s biggest and top 10 airports, with an average length of three to five kilometres.

The financial and economic losses at Dutse International Airport are significant due to the Jigawa state government’s lack of leadership priorities, as evidenced by the management of international airports in Rwanda, Addis Ababa, Qatar, Gatwick, and Heathrow, among others. Taking time, for example, by Governor Namadi to go to the Qatari Embassy in Abuja with a very junior high school colleague to meet with the Qatari Ambassador or inviting him to see the airport, is not the way to woo partners or encourage Qatar Airways to partner with Dutse International Airport. The ambassador’s duty is certainly diplomatic, not technical; he is not in any way going to help the Jigawa state government, technically speaking, make its airport useful. The Qatari people are law-abiding individuals known worldwide for their uprightness and accountability. They mostly engage in charitable and educational programs for deprived communities, as witnessed in Gaza, Palestine, Syria, and in Dutse and Hadejia, Nigeria.

To make Dutse International Airport useful, one must look beyond the banal and quibbling issues of political sentiments and personal interests.

The airport could have been taken in partnership with Qatar Airways if the proper partnership channels had been communicated to Qatar Airways’ commercial department in Doha. It could have been salvaged if, for example, direct contact had been established with Rwandan Airlines rather than Ethiopian Airlines. It could have doubled its construction cost in revenue if the two governors had done their homework very well through Jigawa State’s international partnerships and linkages. This department could have liaised with Gatwick or London Heathrow Airports, for example, in the United Kingdom, or even with Frankfurt Airport in Germany, to take over the management of Dutse International Airport and enter an agreement, inter alia and ab initio, at a 50-50 business fee. 

Lufthansa, for example, offers extensive partnerships and connections linking East and North Africa. There is no harm whatsoever in giving the Dutse International Airport management to Frankfurt’s Lufthansa as an up-taker, or to Madrid Barajas Airport (MAD), which is currently interested in African partnerships by shuttling its flights to connect to various African geographical locations such as Chad, Niger Republic, Rwanda, Ghana, Cameroon, Kenya, Uganda, Senegal, and Mali, to mention but a few. 

Royal Air Maroc could also have been a strong partner to the Jigawa State government and to Dutse International Airport, beyond the Overland domestic partnership that was caught up in Badaru’s and Namadi’s political acrobatics. Indeed, Dutse International Airport, within this 10-12-year period of neglect by the two governors, could have been used to provide serious dollars to the Jigawa State government from abroad and a couple of billions of naira on domestic flight arrangements and agreements, because it would have certainly offered the highest frequency of flight influx and a “buffer” zone from Europe to the west and Sahelian Africa, allowing easy accessibility to passengers and cargo into major African airports like Cape Town, Casablanca, and Addis Ababa etc.

Unfortunately, the current governor is busy shuttling between China and India to invite investors to invest in Jigawa State, with minimal progress that is often overamplified by his new media aides.

Therefore, what is wrong, useless, and should be avoided is what an academic once described as hot-air jargon, popularly known as Dogon Turanci. The Jigawa State government should take the management of its international airport seriously by inviting up-takers to handle the airport for a couple of years, with its staff and technical personnel. No Nigerian or Jigawa indigene should be employed to work at the check-in and check-out counters or security points to avoid passengers begging for money (dollars), which is typical of Nigerian-trained and employed airport staff and has caused significant damage to Nigeria’s integrity and national image. 

Nura Jibo writes for the West African Research Association (WARA) and the African Studies Centre at Boston University, United States.

Rebuttals to this piece are welcome and healthy. They can be submitted to jibonura@yahoo.com.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

At least 56 people have been reported dead and several others injured after an airstrike struck a busy weekly market along the border between Borno and Yobe states.

The incident took place on Saturday at Jilli Market, a trading hub situated between Gubio Local Government Area of Borno State and Geidam Local Government Area of Yobe State. The market serves residents from nearby communities, including Gubio, Chiweram, Benisheikh, Gurokayeya and Geidam.

Sources indicated that the strike may have occurred during a military operation aimed at suspected Boko Haram members. The fighter jet was reportedly pursuing insurgents believed to have entered the market to collect levies and gather supplies. However, the target was allegedly missed, with civilians bearing the impact.

Eyewitness accounts suggest heavy casualties. One witness said, “The incident happened around 2:46 p.m. while business activities were ongoing. Four fighter jets carried out the attack, though the fourth jet was not clearly visible. We only heard the sound of explosions.

“I counted 56 corpses myself and helped rescue two injured people, taking them to the hospital. I believe the number of casualties may be higher, as more bodies are still being recovered.”

Medical sources confirmed that several injured victims were taken to the Specialist Hospital in Geidam for treatment.

The councillor representing Fichimaram Ward, Malam Lawan Zanna, also confirmed the attack. He provided a slightly different casualty figure, noting that more victims were brought to hospital following the incident.

“The incident occurred at Jilli village’s weekly market under Fichimaram Ward in Geidam LGA. From the information available to us, it was an airstrike.

“When the jets launched their attack, people panicked and began to run, but the strikes continued. As we speak, over 30 people have been killed.

“More than 20 people were hospitalized in Geidam. Two were referred to the Teaching Hospital in Damaturu. Out of those receiving treatment, nine have died, bringing the death toll to over 30,” he said.

The Special Adviser to the Yobe State Governor on Security Matters, Brigadier General Abdulsalam Dahiru (rtd), acknowledged the development but clarified the location of the incident.

“I have spoken with the chairman of Geidam Local Government, who informed me that Jilli village falls under Gubio LGA of Borno State. You may contact officials in Maiduguri for further details,” he said.

There has been no official response from the Nigerian Air Force as of the time of this report.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar has said that living conditions in Nigeria have become more expensive than in Kenya, despite differences in fuel prices.

His remarks followed a statement by President Bola Tinubu during a visit to Bayelsa State, where the President said petrol is cheaper in Nigeria than in Kenya and several other African countries.

In a response issued on Saturday through his spokesperson, Phrank Shaibu, Atiku described the comparison as ‘shallow’. He said it does not reflect the real economic situation faced by Nigerians.

He questioned the focus on fuel prices alone as a measure of economic wellbeing. He argued that factors such as income levels, purchasing power, and general cost of living provide a more accurate picture.

According to the statement, Nigeria remains more expensive when overall living costs are considered, even though petrol prices may appear lower.

“Yes, petrol prices in Nigeria may appear lower than in countries like Kenya or South Africa. But this comparison collapses instantly when placed against the backdrop of economic realities.

“Nigeria today is more expensive to live in than Kenya, with the average cost of living significantly higher, despite lower fuel prices.”

Atiku also pointed to differences in earnings between both countries. He said Kenya’s minimum wage is significantly higher than Nigeria’s.

“More alarming is the collapse in earning power. Kenya’s GDP per capita is nearly double that of Nigeria, and a minimum wage earner in Nairobi takes home the equivalent of about N170,000—more than twice Nigeria’s N70,000,” he said.

Available data shows that petrol currently sells between N1,290 and N1,350 per litre in Nigeria, while prices in Kenya exceed N1,800 per litre.

The exchange highlights ongoing debate over the impact of economic policies and the rising cost of living in Nigeria.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Activist Aisha Yesufu has added her voice to calls for the removal of the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Joash Amupitan.

She argued that Amupitan should step down from his position, citing what she described as partisan conduct.

Yesufu, a member of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), made her position known in a post shared on X. She stressed that the opposition party is serious about its mission and should not be taken lightly.

In her post, she wrote: “I love how active Nigerians have become! #ActiveCitizens

“I always focus on the little wins. They snowball into the big wins.

“Some years ago, Amupitan would have gotten away with what he tried to do.

“At this stage it becomes mandatory that #AmupitanMustGo. My party is not here to play!

“The most painful part of all of this for me is that I will not be in the country for my FIRST party convention.

“I have accepted months ago to be at a workshop in Brazil. ADC Arise.

Her comments come amid growing criticism from different quarters over the leadership of the electoral body.

The development reflects increasing political tension as opposition figures continue to question the neutrality of the commission ahead of future elections.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Bauchi State Governor, Bala Mohammed, has raised alarm over the dismantling of railway sleepers along the Alkaleri–Tafawa Balewa rail line, warning that the development could harm the state’s economic prospects.

The governor encountered the activity on Saturday during a trip to Alkaleri Local Government Area, where he had gone on a condolence visit. He reportedly saw contractors removing parts of the rail infrastructure.

Disturbed by the situation, Mohammed called on security agencies and relevant authorities to step in and provide a clear explanation.

He questioned the justification for removing such vital infrastructure. He said assets of this nature should not be altered without proper engagement with the state government.

The governor directed his Chief of Staff to formally contact the Federal Ministry of Transport to seek clarification. He expressed worry that important facilities within the state were being taken apart without the knowledge of local authorities.

Security operatives present at the site reportedly told the governor that the contractors were acting on instructions from the Federal Government.

Mohammed, however, said the explanation did not adequately address the concerns, given the role of the rail corridor in transporting agricultural produce across the area.

He cautioned that the removal of the sleepers could deepen transport difficulties and disrupt economic activities in communities that depend on the railway for moving goods.

The governor also called for better coordination between federal and state governments. He stressed that decisions on critical infrastructure should reflect their impact on livelihoods and local economies.

Further findings suggested that the contractors were operating with a letter said to have been issued by the Federal Government, which approved the removal of the rail tracks. No reason was stated for the action.

Speaking to residents, Mohammed assured them that he would take up the issue in Abuja. He reiterated that rail transport remains one of the most reliable and affordable options for moving goods and services.

He also raised concerns about whether there are still plans to rehabilitate railway systems across the country, especially in the North-East, which he said continues to face infrastructure deficits.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

The Department of State Services (DSS) has freed a number of Kano State Government officials who were earlier invited for questioning over a petition submitted by former governor Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso.

The officials spent about four hours in custody after honouring the DSS invitation. They were later granted bail on self-recognition.

Among those affected are Sunusi Bature Dawakin Tofa, Director General of Media and Publicity at the Kano Government House; Ibrahim Adam, Special Adviser on Information; Salisu Yahaya Hotoro, APC Youth Leader in Kano; and Nuhu Dambazau, a senior reporter at the Government House.

Kwankwaso lodged the complaint under the Kwankwasiyya Movement. He accused the officials of engaging in cyberbullying and making defamatory statements against him and some of his loyalists on social media platforms.

In the petition dated April 10, 2026, he alleged that the individuals carried out coordinated online attacks aimed at tarnishing his image.

Their release soon after interrogation indicates that the matter is still under investigation, with no final decision announced.

The incident comes at a time of heightened online political exchanges between supporters of the Kwankwasiyya Movement and those aligned with the Kano State Government.

As of the time this report was filed, there has been no official response from either the DSS or the Kano State Government regarding the development.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

The federal government has released a list of 48 individuals and organisations alleged to have connections with terrorism financing across Nigeria.

The disclosure came on Saturday through the Nigeria Sanctions Committee (NIGSAC). The list contains names of persons and entities suspected to be involved in activities tied to extremist and banned groups. These groups include the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Ansarul Sudan (Ansaru), and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP).

Among those identified is Simon Ekpa, a separatist figure based in Finland who is linked to a faction of IPOB. On September 1, 2025, the Päijät-Häme district court in Finland sentenced him to six years imprisonment over terrorism-related offences. The court held him liable for inciting terrorism and for taking part in the operations of a terrorist group.

Tukur Mamu, a publisher from Kaduna, also appears on the list. He is currently standing trial in Nigeria over allegations tied to terrorism financing. Mamu was arrested in 2022 and later charged by the federal government. The charges include claims that he supported terrorist groups through financial and logistical means. He has denied the allegations.

Other individuals named include Abdulsamat Ohida, Mohammed Sani, Abdurrahaman Abdurrahaman, Fatima Ishaq, Yusuf Ghazali, Abubakar Muhammad, Sallamudeen Hassan, Adamu Ishak, Hassana Isah, Abdulkareem Musa, Umar Abdullahi, Bashir Yusuf, Ibrahim Alhassan, Salihu Adamu, Surajo Mohammad, Fannami Bukar, Muhammed Musa, Sahabi Ismail, Mohammed Buba, Adamu Hassan, Hassan Mohammed, Usman Abubakar, Kubara Salawu, and Rabiu Suleiman.

The list also contains several names from the south-east. They include Simon Njoku, Godstime Iyare, Francis Mmadubuchi, John Onwumere, Chikwuka Eze, Edwin Chukwuedo, Chiwendu Owoh, Ginika Orji, Awo Uchechukwu, Mercy Ali, Ohagwu Juliana, Eze Okpoto, Nwaobi Chimezie, and Ogumu Kewe.

Entities listed by the committee include Jama’atu Wal-Jihad, Ansarul Sudan (Ansaru), Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Yan Group, and Yan Group NLBDG.

The development comes at a time when authorities have increased scrutiny of financial channels believed to support armed groups and separatist movements. The government has continued efforts aimed at cutting off funding sources linked to insecurity in different parts of the country.

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Bolaji Abdullahi, spokesperson of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), has asked Joash Amupitan, chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), to step down over allegations of partisan conduct.

The controversy follows claims circulated online that Amupitan operated a personal account on X and used it to engage with politically biased content.

However, the INEC chairman has denied the allegation. Through his chief press secretary, Adedayo Oketola, Amupitan described the claim as “entirely baseless, a total fabrication, and a figment of the imagination of its purveyors”. He also stated that he has not taken part in political commentary and urged the public to disregard what he called misinformation.

In a statement shared on X on Saturday, Abdullahi said the credibility of the INEC chairman must remain beyond question. He argued that the alleged post undermines trust in the country’s electoral system.

“In a democracy, the umpire must be above suspicion. He must not only be independent, but he must also be seen, beyond any reasonable doubt, to be independent. That is the minimum standard required of anyone entrusted with the sacred duty of conducting free and fair elections,” the statement reads.

“However, more troubling is the desperate attempt to tamper with digital records, to erase evidence of his previous partisanship. This is not a trivial matter. It is a calculated assault on truth and accountability.”

Abdullahi said the comments linked to Amupitan suggest he has not met the expectations required of an electoral umpire.

“The referee cannot be running around in the shirt of one of the teams he’s supposed to officiate in a match. This is why Professor Amupitan must resign. Now,” Abdullahi said.

“Anything less is an insult to the Nigerian people and a dangerous precedent for our democracy.”

He added that the ADC plans to petition relevant bodies, including foreign governments and the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA), over the allegation.

“We will also renew and escalate our civil disobedience action until the INEC Chairman leaves office,” he added.

By Hadiza Abdulkadir

A 3-foot-tall medical doctor in India, Dr Ganesh Baraiya, is inspiring millions worldwide after his extraordinary journey was spotlighted by BBC News.

Born with dwarfism and standing at just about three feet, Baraiya grew up confronting stigma and low expectations. In the widely circulated report, he recalled being once offered a place in a circus—a path his father firmly rejected in favour of education and a life of dignity.

That decision changed everything.

Against the odds, Baraiya pursued his studies with determination, overcoming social and institutional barriers to qualify as a medical doctor. When discrimination threatened to halt his progress, he refused to back down, taking his fight for equal opportunity to India’s Supreme Court.

Today, the 3-foot-tall doctor stands as a powerful symbol of resilience, courage, and possibility. His story has gone viral, touching hearts across the world and sparking renewed calls for inclusion and equal access for persons with disabilities.

For many, Baraiya’s journey is more than a personal triumph; it is a reminder that greatness is not measured by physical stature but by strength of purpose.

Fresh US intelligence assessments indicate that China could be preparing to supply Iran with new air defense systems in the coming weeks, according to three individuals familiar with the findings, as reported by Cable News Network (CNN).

The development comes shortly after Beijing played a role in brokering a fragile ceasefire that halted recent hostilities between Iran and the United States. The timing is sensitive as President Donald Trump is expected to travel to China next month for talks with President Xi Jinping.

Officials say the intelligence points to possible efforts by Iran to use the pause in fighting to rebuild parts of its military capability with assistance from foreign partners.

Two sources said there are signs that China may attempt to route the weapons through third-party countries in order to conceal their origin.

The weapons in question are believed to be shoulder-fired anti-aircraft systems known as MANPADS. According to the sources, such systems posed a threat to low-flying US military aircraft during the recent five-week conflict and could do so again if fighting resumes.

China has denied the claims. A spokesperson for its embassy in Washington said, “China has never provided weapons to any party to the conflict; the information in question is untrue.”

The spokesperson added, “As a responsible major country, China consistently fulfills its international obligations. We urge the U.S. side to refrain from making baseless allegations, maliciously drawing connections, and engaging in sensationalism; we hope that relevant parties will do more to help de-escalate tensions.”

Earlier, the embassy maintained that Beijing had “been working to help bring about a ceasefire and end to the conflict” since the outbreak of the US-Israel-Iran war.

President Trump said earlier this week that a US F-15 fighter jet downed over Iran was struck by a “handheld shoulder missile, [a] heat-seeking missile.” Iran had earlier claimed it used a “new” air defense system, though it did not disclose details. It remains unclear whether the system was of Chinese origin.

Analysts say any transfer of MANPADS would signal a shift in China’s level of support for Iran since the US and Israel began joint military operations in February. While Chinese firms have continued supplying dual-use technologies to Iran, direct involvement by the Chinese government in weapons transfers would represent a significant escalation.

High-level engagements between Washington and Beijing have continued alongside ceasefire discussions, and Trump’s planned visit is expected to address several of these concerns.

One source familiar with the intelligence said China appears to be balancing its interests. Beijing is seen as avoiding direct involvement in the conflict while maintaining ties with Iran, a key supplier of oil, and preserving plausible deniability.

Sources also noted that China could frame any support as defensive in nature. This position could distinguish its actions from Russia, which has reportedly supported Iran with intelligence sharing during the conflict.

Iran maintains long-standing military and economic ties with both China and Russia. It has also supported Moscow in its war in Ukraine, including the supply of Shahed drones, while continuing to export much of its sanctioned oil to China.