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The Strait of Hormuz and Nigeria’s Energy Paradox

By Inusa Rabiu Isah

As tensions continue to rise around the Strait of Hormuz, global oil prices are climbing again, shipping risks are increasing, and analysts are warning that any prolonged disruption in the Gulf region could trigger another major energy shock. For many Nigerians, the immediate reaction is predictable: “Nigeria will benefit because we are an oil-producing country.” Yet every major oil shock continues to expose the same uncomfortable reality: despite its enormous crude oil reserves, Nigeria remains dangerously vulnerable to global energy instability.

The Strait of Hormuz, located between Iran and Oman, is one of the world’s most strategic energy transit routes. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), about 20 million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products passed through the Strait in 2025, representing roughly one-fifth of global oil consumption and nearly 25% of global seaborne oil trade. In addition, the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that around 20% of global LNG trade moves through the same corridor.

This explains why instability around Hormuz immediately affects global energy markets. The concern extends beyond crude supply to tanker movements, shipping insurance, freight costs, refinery feedstock availability, refined product pricing, and market speculation.

Similarly, past disruptions such as the 1973 oil embargo, the Gulf Wars, and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine conflict demonstrated how geopolitical instability can rapidly trigger inflation across import-dependent economies through higher fuel, transport, and food costs.

Nigeria is no exception.

Although Nigeria is one of Africa’s largest crude oil producers, the country still operates an economy heavily dependent on imported energy-linked systems. Millions of households and businesses rely on petrol and diesel generators due to an unstable electricity supply, while transport and logistics remain overwhelmingly road-dependent. Consequently, rising diesel and petrol prices quickly spread across the economy.

The first major mistake in many public discussions is the assumption that higher crude prices automatically benefit Nigeria. Oil revenue depends not only on price, but also on production volume.

According to Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) data released in April 2026, Nigeria’s combined crude oil and condensate production rose to about 1.546 million barrels per day in March 2026. However, crude oil production excluding condensates stood around 1.382 million barrels per day, still below Nigeria’s OPEC quota of approximately 1.5 million barrels per day.

Therefore, higher crude prices alone cannot guarantee stronger economic benefits unless production remains stable, oil theft is reduced, and export infrastructure functions efficiently.

The second mistake is confusing crude oil price with petrol price. Nigerians do not buy crude oil at filling stations; they buy refined petroleum products. Petrol and diesel prices are influenced not only by crude benchmarks but also by refining margins, freight charges, foreign exchange rates, logistics, taxes, insurance, and marketer margins.

This is where Nigeria’s foreign exchange challenge becomes critical. A weaker naira significantly increases the cost of refined products and energy-related imports. Since the removal of fuel subsidies, domestic fuel prices now respond more directly to global market volatility. Consequently, international oil shocks now transmit faster into local petrol and diesel prices.

Although the Dangote Refinery represents a major improvement in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, local refining alone cannot completely shield the country from global oil-price volatility. Crude feedstock pricing remains internationally linked, and refined product prices still respond to international market conditions. Nonetheless, the refinery remains a critical step toward improving Nigeria’s long-term energy security and reducing import dependence.

Recent domestic fuel data already show how exposed Nigeria’s economy remains. National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data indicated that the average retail petrol price rose to about ₦1,288.54 per litre in March 2026, while diesel prices recorded an estimated 16.05% month-on-month increase during the same period.

These are not just economic statistics. They affect transport fares, food prices, manufacturers, small businesses powering generators, and millions of Nigerians already struggling with inflation.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s deeper challenge remains structural energy vulnerability. Electricity supply is weak, gas infrastructure is underdeveloped, rail freight systems are limited, and strategic fuel reserves are inadequate. Under these conditions, every major disruption in global energy markets quickly evolves into domestic inflation and economic hardship.

The policy lesson is therefore clear: Nigeria must stop celebrating rising oil prices without asking whether the country is structurally prepared to benefit from them. Nigeria must raise and sustain crude oil production, strengthen domestic refining, expand gas infrastructure, develop strategic fuel reserves, and treat energy security as an economic-security issue rather than merely a petroleum-sector issue.

Conclusively, the Strait of Hormuz may be geographically distant from Nigeria, but its economic consequences can reach Nigerian households within days. That is the reality of today’s interconnected global oil market. Until Nigeria builds real energy resilience, global oil shocks will continue producing the same painful irony: a country rich in crude oil, yet perpetually vulnerable to energy insecurity and affordability.

Engr. Inusa Rabiu Isah, GMNSE, MIAENG, is a petroleum engineer and energy analyst with interests in petroleum economics, energy security, and sustainable industrial development. He writes from Abuja and can be reached via inusarabiuisah@gmail.com.

Germany Classifies Watermelon Motif as Extremist Indicator in Crackdown on Pro-Palestinian Activism

By Muhammad Abubakar 

Germany’s domestic intelligence agency, the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV), has expanded its monitoring of pro-Palestinian activism by adding the watermelon symbol to its official list of extremist and antisemitic indicators under specific conditions.

According to an agency report titled “Hidden Messages – Antisemitic Codes and Ciphers,” the watermelon motif is now flagged when used by activists to outline the geographic map of Palestine.

Authorities state that using the fruit’s shape to replace the borders of Israel acts as a “bridge narrative” that effectively denies Israel’s right to exist. 

The update was published alongside a re-classification of the slogan “From the river to the sea,” which German security officials view as a call for the elimination of the Jewish state.

The watermelon has historically served as an international symbol of Palestinian solidarity, utilising its red, green, black, and white colours to mirror the Palestinian flag. 

Pro-Palestinian networks have criticised the intelligence dossier, arguing that the security agency is conflating peaceful political expression with hate speech to suppress solidarity movements. 

Regional authorities, beginning with Bavaria, are expected to use the updated BfV guidelines to increase surveillance and tighten restrictions on public demonstrations.

Israeli Military Probes Soldier Over Desecration of Virgin Mary Statue in Lebanon



The Israeli military has opened an investigation after a photograph circulated online allegedly showing one of its soldiers desecrating a statue of the Virgin Mary in southern Lebanon.

According to reports published on Wednesday, the image showed the soldier placing a cigarette in the mouth of the statue while also smoking.

The military described the matter as serious and vowed to take action against the soldier. The Times of Israel reported that the army viewed the “incident gravely”.

Preliminary findings indicated that the photograph was taken several weeks ago in Debel, a Christian-majority village in southern Lebanon. However, the image only surfaced online on Wednesday.

The development has added to growing accusations of misconduct by Israeli troops in southern Lebanon. Last month, another Israeli soldier was reportedly photographed damaging a statue of Jesus in the same community.

Lebanese media outlets also alleged that Israeli troops destroyed solar panels used to power the town’s water supply system. Reports further claimed that homes, roads and olive trees in the area were damaged.

The latest controversy comes amid intensified Israeli military operations in Lebanon. Israeli forces have carried out repeated attacks in Beirut and other parts of the country. Israel said the operations target Hezbollah fighters and infrastructure.

Israeli troops still maintain a presence in parts of southern Lebanon. Residents and officials in the area have expressed concern over widespread destruction in communities affected by the conflict.

Meanwhile, concerns have continued to mount over reported attacks against Christians in Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories.

Religious organisations have documented incidents involving harassment and violence against Christian pilgrims, clergy members and Palestinian Christians. Some of the reported attacks allegedly involved ultra-Orthodox Jewish seminary students.

One incident involved a French nun near Jerusalem’s Old City last month. Video footage reportedly showed a man pushing the nun to the ground, causing a head injury, before returning to kick her while she was on the ground.

Israeli police later announced the arrest of a 36-year-old suspect after the video drew international attention.

Following criticism over the destruction of the Jesus statue in Debel, the office of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu condemned the act. The two soldiers involved were removed from combat duties and sentenced to 30 days in prison.

In another incident in March, Netanyahu’s office apologised after Israeli police prevented Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem Pierbattista Pizzaballa from accessing the Church of the Holy Sepulchre to lead Palm Sunday mass.

Observers say disciplinary measures against Israeli soldiers remain uncommon despite repeated allegations involving military conduct.

The report also referenced the killing of Al Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Akleh, who was shot dead during an Israeli military operation in the occupied West Bank in 2022.

In Gaza, several religious sites have suffered destruction during the war. These include the historic Great Omari Mosque and Saint Porphyrius Church, one of the oldest churches in the world.

Former Mossad Chief Condemns Settler Violence, Adds He Feels “Ashamed to be a Jew”

By Maryam Ahmad

A former head of Israel’s intelligence agency has sharply condemned rising settler violence in the West Bank, saying it has left him “ashamed to be a Jew.”

Tamir Pardo, who led Mossad from 2011 to 2016, made the remarks in a recent interview, warning that attacks by Israeli settlers on Palestinian communities are eroding Israel’s moral standing and threatening its long-term security. His comments come amid an uptick in reported incidents involving arson, assaults, and property damage in the territory.

Human rights organisations have documented a rise in settler-related violence in recent months, often carried out with limited accountability. Israeli authorities say they are working to curb such incidents, but critics argue enforcement remains inconsistent.

Pardo’s intervention adds to a growing chorus of current and former security officials voicing concern over developments in the West Bank. He urged the government to uphold the rule of law and take decisive action against perpetrators, warning that failure to do so risks further escalation and international isolation.

Slovenia to Air Palestinian Documentaries in Place of Eurovision Broadcast

By Maryam Ahmad

Slovenia has announced that it will broadcast a series of Palestinian documentaries instead of airing the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest 2026, marking a significant cultural and political statement amid growing tensions surrounding the annual music competition.

According to reports, Slovenia is among the five countries that have withdrawn from this year’s contest. While most participating nations will continue with scheduled broadcasts, only Iceland and the Netherlands are expected to air the competition despite their withdrawal. The contest is set to take place next month in Vienna.

Slovenian officials indicated that the decision to replace Eurovision programming with Palestinian documentary content is intended to provide alternative perspectives and highlight ongoing humanitarian concerns. The move reflects a broader debate across Europe about the role of cultural events during geopolitical conflict, particularly regarding the Israel–Palestine issue.

The European Broadcasting Union (EBU), which organises Eurovision, has not yet issued a detailed response to Slovenia’s programming change but has previously maintained that the contest is a non-political event aimed at fostering unity through music.

Slovenia’s decision adds to mounting tensions surrounding this year’s competition, with critics arguing that Eurovision cannot be entirely separated from political realities, while supporters insist it should remain an apolitical platform for artistic expression.

The development is likely to intensify discussions about the intersection of culture, media, and politics in Europe, as audiences across the continent prepare for one of the world’s most-watched entertainment events.

Israeli Military Probes Own Soldier Over Jesus Statue Vandalism In Southern Lebanon

By Sabiu Abdullahi

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has opened an investigation into a soldier accused of damaging a Christian religious symbol in southern Lebanon after a viral image showed him smashing a statue of Jesus Christ with a hammer. The military described the act as a serious violation of its standards and values.

The IDF confirmed the authenticity of the image in a statement posted on X on Sunday. It said:

“The IDF views the incident with great severity and emphasizes that the soldier’s conduct is wholly inconsistent with the values expected of its troops,”

The army said the matter is already under review and has been escalated within its command structure.

“The incident is being investigated by the Northern Command and is currently being addressed through the chain of command. Appropriate measures will be taken against those involved in accordance with the findings,”

The military also stated that it is engaging efforts to assist in restoring the damaged statue. It insisted that its operations in southern Lebanon are not directed at religious or civilian sites.

“The IDF is operating to dismantle the terrorist infrastructure established by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, and has no intention of harming civilian infrastructure, including religious buildings or religious symbols,”

The image first appeared online after Palestinian journalist Younis Tirawi shared it, a development that triggered widespread reactions on social media. Tirawi said the incident took place in southern Lebanon. A local community page identified the site as the outskirts of Dibil, a Christian-majority town in the Bint Jbeil District near the Israeli border.

The official Dibil page also published a photo of the damaged statue alongside a biblical verse: “Father, forgive them; for they know not what they do,” reflecting the community’s grief over the incident.

International reactions followed. Former U.S. congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene criticised continued American support for Israel while sharing the image. She wrote, “Our greatest ally that takes billions of our tax dollars and weapons every year,”

Former U.S. lawmaker Matt Gaetz also reacted to the image and described it as “horrific.”

The incident has intensified scrutiny of military conduct in conflict areas, especially regarding the protection of religious and cultural heritage sites.

In earlier conflicts involving Gaza and Lebanon, Israel has faced similar criticism over damage linked to religious landmarks. In 2023, an Israeli airstrike struck a building next to the Greek Orthodox Church of Saint Porphyrius in Gaza, which led to at least 18 deaths. In 2025, shrapnel from a tank shell hit the Holy Family Church, the only Catholic church in the enclave, and caused three deaths.

Israel Says Gaza Journalist Killed In Strike Was Hamas Operative, Al Jazeera Disputes Claim

By Sabiu Abdullahi

The Israeli military has stated that a journalist killed during a recent strike in Gaza was a member of Hamas, an assertion strongly rejected by Al Jazeera.

In a message posted on X, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that it had “eliminated” Muhammad Samir Muhammad Washah. The military alleged that he was “a Hamas terrorist operating under the guise of an Al Jazeera journalist.”

According to the IDF, Washah played a role in the group’s weapons operations.

“Washah, a key terrorist in Hamas’ rocket & weapons production HQ, was also involved in the production and transfer of weapons through Gaza,” the IDF said.

“The terrorist was actively involved in planning attacks against IDF troops & posed a concrete threat to forces in the area,” it added.

The statement followed earlier reports that an Al Jazeera correspondent, identified as Mohammed Wishah, died after an Israeli strike hit his vehicle in Gaza City.

Al Jazeera rejected the Israeli account and described the killing as intentional. The network condemned the incident and accused Israeli forces of targeting journalists.

“Al Jazeera Media Network strongly condemns the heinous crime of targeting and killing Al Jazeera Mubasher correspondent, Mohammed Wishah,” the network said.

“This constitutes a new and flagrant violation of all international laws and norms, and reflects a continued systematic policy of targeting journalists and silencing the voice of truth,” it added.

The organisation maintained that the attack was deliberate.

“As Al Jazeera mourns its correspondent Mohammed Wishah… it affirms that his killing was not a random act but a deliberate and targeted crime intended to intimidate journalists,” the statement read.

“The targeting of Wishah represents another episode in a series of deliberate attacks against journalists,” warning of “a dangerous escalation aimed at media professionals,” Al Jazeera said.

The network also called for accountability.

“Al Jazeera holds Israeli occupation forces fully responsible for the killing,” the network said, adding that it would pursue “all necessary legal avenues to bring those responsible to justice.”

The death of Wishah adds to the growing number of journalists killed in Gaza since October 2023. Al Jazeera said the figure has reached 262.

Hundreds Killed And Injured As Israel Launches Massive Strikes Across Lebanon

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Hundreds of people have been killed and many others injured after Israeli forces carried out a fresh wave of airstrikes across Lebanon, Lebanese Health Minister Rakan Nassereddine has said.

The attacks followed an announcement by the Israel Defence Forces (IDF), which confirmed it had executed what it described as its most extensive coordinated military action in Lebanon since the launch of “Operation Roaring Lion.”

In a message shared on its official X account, the IDF stated, “In 10 minutes, the IDF completed the largest coordinated strike across Lebanon since the start of Operation Roaring Lion.”

According to the Israeli military, more than 100 locations linked to Hezbollah were targeted during the operation. These included “headquarters, military arrays, & command-and-control centers in Beirut, Beqaa and southern Lebanon.”

The IDF added that the strikes also focused on “intelligence command centers and central headquarters used planning terror attacks,” alongside “infrastructure of firepower and naval arrays, responsible for launching missiles.”

It further disclosed that the operation hit “assets of the Radwan Force, & the Aerial unit—Hezbollah’s elite units.”

The bombardment affected several parts of the country, including Beirut, the Beqaa Valley, and southern Lebanon. The scale of the assault marks a sharp escalation in the ongoing hostilities between Israeli forces and Hezbollah fighters.

Lebanese authorities confirmed a high number of casualties. However, they have not provided a precise breakdown of those killed or injured. Emergency teams are still working at multiple sites to rescue victims and assess the damage.

Israel indicated that its military campaign will continue. The IDF said it intends to maintain pressure on Hezbollah due to security concerns in northern Israel.

“We will continue striking the Hezbollah terror organization and will utilize every operational opportunity. We will not compromise the security of the residents of northern Israel. We will continue to strike with determination,” said IDF Chief of the General Staff, Lieutenant General Eyal Zamir, who supervised the operation.

The situation has heightened tensions across the region, with fears growing that the conflict could widen. Cross-border exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah have intensified in recent days.

Israel had earlier stated that it would sustain its strikes on Lebanon despite a two-week ceasefire agreement between Iran and the United States in the broader Middle East conflict.

Several countries have previously urged Israel to halt military actions in Lebanon. Israel, however, maintains that Hezbollah, an ally of Iran, remains a significant threat due to its presence in the country.

Amid the ongoing crisis, Lebanon’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Youssef Raggi, announced a diplomatic move against Iran. He revealed that Lebanon had withdrawn its approval for Iran’s designated ambassador, Mohammad Reza Shibani, and ordered him to leave the country.

In a statement, Raggi said, “I instructed today the Secretary-General of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants to summon the Iranian Chargé d’Affaires in Lebanon to inform him of the decision to withdraw the agrément for the designated Iranian Ambassador, Mohammad Reza Shibani, declare him persona non grata, and request that he leave Lebanese territory no later than 29 March 2026.”

US-Israeli Strikes Destroy Tehran Synagogue, Kill Dozens Across Iran

By Sabiu Abdullahi

A synagogue in Tehran was “completely destroyed” following United States-Israeli airstrikes, Iranian media reported, as overnight attacks across Iran left more than a dozen dead.

“According to preliminary information, the Rafi-Nia Synagogue … was completely destroyed in this morning’s attacks,” reported Shargh newspaper on Tuesday.

Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency said the synagogue collapsed after an adjacent residential building in central Tehran was targeted. Video footage showed civil defence workers amid the rubble, with Hebrew-language books scattered on the ground.

The report added that narrow streets around the attacked building caused significant damage to the exterior and interior of neighboring structures. There was no immediate confirmation of casualties at the synagogue.

In a video shared on Telegram by Iran’s official IRIB News, Homayoun Sameh, a Jewish representative in the Islamic Consultative Assembly, said: “the Zionist regime showed no mercy to this community during the Jewish holidays and targeted one of our ancient and holy synagogues. Unfortunately, during this attack, the synagogue building was completely destroyed and our Torah scrolls were left under the rubble.”

Judaism is among Iran’s legally recognised minority religions, and the country has a small Jewish population, though many fled after the 1979 Islamic revolution. Shargh described the synagogue as “one of the most important places for Khorasan Jews to gather and celebrate.”

The strikes were part of a series of US-Israeli attacks overnight. Local media reported at least 15 people killed across Iran. Mehr stated that six bodies were recovered from rubble in Pardis, east of Tehran, while officials confirmed nine fatalities in an Israeli air attack on a residential area in Shahriar, west of Tehran province.

Iran Executes Two Alleged US-Israel-Linked Operatives Amid Rising Tensions

By Sabiu Abdullahi

Iran has executed two individuals accused of collaborating with a US–Israel-backed opposition group, according to reports from the country’s semi-official Tasnim news agency.

The agency stated that the two were charged with ties to the Mojahedin-e-Khalq (MEK), an Iranian opposition organization that authorities claim receives backing from the United States and Israel. The group has a long history of armed resistance against the Iranian government.

Iranian officials accused the executed individuals of “carrying out attacks against security forces,” although the report did not provide further details about the timing or nature of the alleged assaults.

The executions occur amid heightened tensions between Iran, the United States, and Israel, with Tehran frequently accusing both countries of supporting opposition movements aimed at destabilizing the government.

The MEK has remained controversial for decades. Iran designates the group as a terrorist organization, while the United States removed it from its terrorist list in 2012. There has been no immediate comment from US or Israeli officials regarding the executions.

Earlier in March, Iran’s intelligence ministry announced the identification and arrest of 30 individuals accused of spying for the United States and Israel. The ministry said the detainees included alleged spies, domestic operatives, and media-linked figures from several provinces.

“Over the past few days, 30 spies, domestic mercenaries and operational elements of the American-Zionist enemy were identified and arrested,” the ministry said.

Brigadier General Ahmadreza Radan, Iran’s Police Chief, told TRT that the suspects were detained on charges of “spying for the enemy and hostile media,” according to Tasnim news agency. Radan added that 250 of those arrested “provided intelligence to the London-based broadcaster Iran International, including information about targeted sites.”

He also stated that the detainees had links to armed groups and had sought to disrupt public order. Radan described them as “spies” who leaked information “to the enemy and hostile media outlets.”

The ongoing conflict between Iran and the US–Israel coalition continues to fuel global tensions, even as international organizations and nations call for diplomacy and a peaceful resolution.